Does Government Spending Efficiency Improve Fiscal Sustainability?

Optimal Fiscal Stabilisation through Government Spending

This paper examines under what conditions fiscal policy in the form of government spending should contribute to macroeconomic stabilisation. To this end optimal fiscal targeting rules minimising the microfounded social loss are examined in the following settings. Firstly, for the benchmark New Keynesian model, where monetary policy is unconstrained, a neutrality result for fiscal obtains: fisca...

Fiscal Foresight and the Effects of Government Spending

We study the effects of government spending by using a structural, large dimensional, dynamic factor model. We find that the government spending shock is non-fundamental for the variables commonly used in the structural VAR literature, so that its impulse response functions cannot be consistently estimated by means of a VAR. Government spending raises both consumption and investment, with no ev...

Endogenous Government Spending and Fiscal Stimulus (Incomplete Version)

Government spending multiplier is usually defined as a factor of proportionality that measures how much output changes in response to a change in the exogenous government spending shock. This assumption is inconsistent with the reality that fiscal stimulus are themselves endogenous and state dependent. This paper developed a endogenous regime switching framework in a rational expectation DSGE m...

How Does Government Spending Stimulate Consumption ?

Recent empirical work finds that government spending shocks cause aggregate consumption to increase over the business cycle, contrary to the predictions of Neoclassical and New Keynesian models. This paper proposes a mechanism to account for the consumption increase that builds on the framework of imperfect information in Lucas (1972) and Lorenzoni (2009). In my model, owners of firms targeted ...

Fiscal Sustainability, Volatility and Oil Wealth: A Stochastic Analysis of Fiscal Spending Rules